I went back and looked at some statewide polling in 2008 and 2012, particularly in Florida. I noticed that McCain actually lead in several polls the week before the election by a point or two. Obama ended up winning by 2.8 in the state and a landslide in the EC. In 2012 Romney actually lead in the RCP average of Florida polls on Election Day but lost by a point. So far Trump hasn’t lead in any Florida polls this week. Biden has been over 50% in several FL polls. Everyone likes to point to the mistakes in the 2016 state polling, but no ever mentions how Obama over performed several of his state polls.
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